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Jamie Dimon, President and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, speaking on CNBC's "Squawk Box" at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 17, 2024. JPMorgan Chas e is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. Still, large banks are expected to outperform smaller ones this quarter, and expectations for JPMorgan are high. Analysts believe the bank can boost guidance for 2024 net interest income as the Federal Reserve is forced to maintain interest rate levels amid stubborn inflation data. Shares of JPMorgan have jumped 15% this year, outperforming the 3.9% gain of the KBW Bank Index.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chas, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, LSEG Revenue, Trading, Federal Reserve, Analysts, Federal, KBW, Wells, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: Davos, Switzerland, Wells Fargo
It's been a year this week since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank sent shockwaves through the banking sector. Wells Fargo shares got a big boost after a key win with regulators in mid-February. It would allow Wells Fargo to finally grow its assets again and help rake in more profits. MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley (MS) year-to-date performance Conversely, the Club's other bank stock, Morgan Stanley , has been lagging in 2024 — down 7% year to date. A combination file photo shows Wells Fargo, Citibank, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs.
Persons: It's, SVB, NYCB, Steven Mnuchin's, Wells Fargo, Wells, they've, Scott Siefers, Piper Sandler, we're, Charlie Scharf, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's underperformance, management's, Ted Pick, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan, Jim, Reddit, Jim Cramer's, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, shockwaves, Bank, , New, , New York Community, Strategic Capital, Wells, Wells Fargo, Currency, Federal Reserve, CNBC, Club, Management, Morgan Stanley's IB, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: Silicon, Wells, ,, , New York, Wells Fargo
Since taking over as CEO of Wells Fargo in 2019, Charlie Scharf has been cleaning up the bank. Wells Fargo stock gained 59% for all of 2021 compared with the KWB's 36% rise. Jan. 5, 2021: During the same year, Wells Fargo announced that an OCC consent order from 2015 had been terminated. Wells Fargo shares plunged nearly 44% in 2020, which were the early days of the Covid pandemic. Wells Fargo bank signs in New Brighton, Minnesota.
Persons: Charlie Scharf, Wells, Morgan Stanley, they've, Scott Siefers, Piper Sandler, we're, Scharf, Wells Fargo, Jeff Marks, Marks, Jan, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Michael Siluk Organizations: Management, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Currency, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, KBW, Club, OCC, Wells, Financial Protection Bureau, Silicon Valley Bank, Wells Fargo, UCG, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, Silicon, New Brighton , Minnesota
Banks are being rocked again as real estate losses mount
  + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
The regional lender set aside $552 million in the fourth quarter to absorb loan losses, up from $62 million in the previous quarter. The increase was driven partly by expected losses on a loan used to finance an office building, it said. ET as shares in NYCB, as well as other regional banks, suffered sharp losses. Much bigger players are girding themselves for losses linked to commercial real estate. Europe’s benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 Banks index, which tracks 42 big EU and UK banks, is up 23% since a low in late March.
Persons: Thomas Cangemi, Brendan McDermid, Julius Baer, Philipp Rickenbacher, Arnd Wiegmann, Reuters Philip Lawlor, , , ” Lawlor, CNN’s Matt Egan Organizations: London CNN, Credit Suisse, New York Community Bancorp, New York Stock Exchange, Japan’s Aozora Bank, Federal Reserve, , CNN, Signa Group, Chrysler, Reuters, Deutsche Bank, Bank, Suisse —, UBS, Wilshire Indexes, KBW Locations: Europe, New York, Tokyo, Zurich, California, Republic, NYCB, Banc, Swiss, Austrian, Switzerland
It's time for investors to shake off the fear of bank stocks created by last year's deposit outflows and regional bank failures, according to Oppenheimer. Analyst Chris Kotowski said in a report to clients on Tuesday that bank stocks are "significantly undervalued," highlighting that the KBW Bank Index finished 2023 down 4.8% for the year, or 29 percentage points behind the S & P 500. That gap is too large to justify even with the collapse of a few regional banks such as Silicon Valley Bank, Kotowski said. The firm's top two bank stocks are Goldman Sachs and Jefferies , both of which can serve as a bet on a rebound in the capital markets business. Kotowski also recommended several other large bank stocks, including Bank of America , JPMorgan Chase and U.S. Bancorp .
Persons: Oppenheimer, Chris Kotowski, Kotowski, Goldman Sachs, David Solomon, Jefferies, Goldman, JPMorgan Chase, , CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: KBW, Silicon Valley Bank, Jefferies, Goldman, LSEG, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, U.S . Bancorp, JPMorgan Locations: Silicon, LSEG
JPMorgan Chase said Friday that fourth-quarter profit declined after paying a $2.9 billion fee tied to the government seizures of failed regional banks last year. The bank said quarterly earnings slipped 15% to $9.31 billion, or $3.04 per share, from a year earlier. Excluding the fee tied to the regional banking crisis and $743 million in investment losses, earnings would have been $3.97 per share, according to JPMorgan. The bank said it generated nearly $50 billion of profit in 2023, $4.1 billion of which came from First Republic. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation hit large U.S. banks with a special assessment to replenish losses from a fund that helped uninsured depositors of seized regional banks.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, LSEG, Revenue, First, First Republic, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Reserve, Fed, KBW, CNBC PRO Locations: U.S, First Republic, Ukraine
A street sign for Wall Street is seen in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 8, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 10 (Reuters) - Global hedge funds built bearish positions this week to the highest level in nearly five years, Goldman Sachs (GS.N) said on Friday, without citing the underlying reasons. The ratio between long and short positions is at a historical low, below 1.7 times. Overall, hedge funds are underweight financials, at the lowest level since May 2020, Goldman Sachs said. Reporting by Carolina Mandl in New York; Editing by Richard ChangOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Goldman Sachs, Financials, Carolina Mandl, Richard Chang Organizations: Wall, REUTERS, Global, ., Bank, KBW Bank, Carolina, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon will begin to sell one million shares of the bank he runs next year, the company said Friday in a filing. He has also spent his own money snapping up JPMorgan shares in the past. Shares of the bank slipped 2.5% in morning trading, worse than the 0.8% decline of the KBW Bank Index. Starting in 2024 they currently intend to sell 1 million shares, subject to the terms of a stock trading plan. Mr. Dimon will use stock trading plans to sell his shares, in accordance with guidelines specified under Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Wells, Mike Mayo, Mayo, Dimon's Organizations: JPMorgan, KBW, New, Securities, Exchange Locations: New York
Morgan Stanley vs. Goldman Sachs MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanely YTD Morgan Stanley reported better-than-expected third-quarter results on Wednesday. GS YTD mountain Goldman Sachs YTD As a point of comparison, outside our portfolio, Goldman Sachs on Tuesday also reported stronger-than-expected quarterly revenue and profits . Wells Fargo vs. JPMorgan WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) year-to-date performance On the money center side, Wells Fargo reported stellar quarterly results on Friday, Oct. 13, topping analysts' expectations for both earnings and revenues. Wells Fargo got a boost from better-than-expected net interest income and non-interest income, along with a decline in non-interest expenses. A combination file photo shows Wells Fargo, Citibank, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Jeff Marks, Wells Fargo, Wells, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanely YTD Morgan Stanley, Marks, they've, James Gorman, Goldman, David Solomon, Mike Santomassimo, Jamie Dimon, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, JPMorgan Organizations: JPMorgan, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Goldman, JPMorgan WFC, JPMorgan Chase, Citibank, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: Wells, Wells Fargo
David Solomon, chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference in New York, Dec. 6, 2022. Goldman Sachs is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Tuesday. Here's what Wall Street expects:Earnings: $5.31 a share, according to LSEG, formerly known as RefinitivRevenue: $11.19 billionTrading revenue: fixed income $2.8 billion, equities $2.73 billion, per StreetAccountInvestment banking revenue: $1.48 billionIs Wall Street deal-making on the mend? Among its big bank peers, Goldman Sachs is the most reliant on investment banking and trading revenue. Last week, Goldman said that its sale of lending business GreenSky will result in a 19 cents per share hit to third-quarter results.
Persons: David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, it's, That's, Goldman, Wells, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Goldman Sachs, Inc, Goldman Sachs Financial Services, Investment, Federal Reserve, Apple Card, KBW, JPMorgan, Citigroup Locations: New York, Wells Fargo
MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley YTD We certainly hope Morgan Stanley's numbers are as good as Friday's report from our other bank holding Wells Fargo (WFC). Morgan Stanley is expected to grow revenue by more than 2% year over year to $13.2 billion in the third quarter. During a recent conference, Morgan Stanley executives said that capital markets will likely improve in 2024. Shares of Morgan Stanley have struggled this year, dropping more than 8% compared to the S & P 500's nearly 13% advance in 2023. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Stocks, WTI, Jerome Powell's, There's, Patrick Harker, John Williams, Harker, Austan Goolsbee, Lorie Logan, Powell, Christopher Waller, Philip Jefferson, Waller, Jefferson, – Morgan Stanley, Gamble –, Morgan Stanley YTD, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, there's, Gamble, Jim, we'll, Charles Schwab, Goldman Sachs, Johnson, Philip Morris, — CNBC's Zev Fima, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Columbus Day, West Texas, Federal Reserve, Club, Fed, Market, Philadelphia Fed, New York Fed, Chicago Fed, Dallas Fed, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Chrysler, Ford, National Association of Realtors, Procter, Procter & Gamble, Natural Resources, Exxon Mobil, Coterra Energy, of America, United Airlines, Gamble, Housing, Netflix, Alcoa, American Airlines, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Alaska Air, CSX, American Express, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Israel, U.S, New, Wells, KBW, Silicon, Manhattan, New York City
Jamie Dimon, chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, at the U.S. Capitol for a lunch meeting with the New Democrat Coalition in Washington, D.C., June 6, 2023. JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings before the opening bell Friday. The 10-year Treasury yield, a key figure for long-term rates, jumped 74 basis points in the third quarter. Shares of JPMorgan have climbed 8.7% year to date, far outperforming the 19% decline of the KBW Bank Index. Bank of America and Goldman Sachs report Tuesday, and Morgan Stanley discloses results on Wednesday.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Dimon, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley Organizations: JPMorgan, U.S, Capitol, New Democrat Coalition, Washington , D.C, LSEG, Bank, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Banks, KBW, Wells, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, Wells Fargo
Like other big banks, Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley have been caught in the throes of the central bank's interest-rate-hiking campaign over the past 18 months. Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley are down on the year amid the difficult backdrop, falling 4.3% and 8.6%, respectively. Wells Fargo is set to report third-quarter results before the opening bell on Friday, while Morgan Stanley is slated to post results next Wednesday. Out of the major U.S. banks, Wells Fargo has the largest exposure to the ailing commercial real estate market, an industry troubled by higher rates and near-record office vacancy levels. Morgan Stanley MS YTD mountain Morgan Stanley (MS) year-to-date performance For the three months ended Sept. 30, analysts expect Morgan Stanley to report revenue of $13.2 billion, up from $12.9 billion during the same period last year, according to Refinitiv.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Wells Fargo, Wells, Charlie Scharf, Mike Santomassimo, Scharf, Jim, Morgan, , James Gorman, we'll, Jim Cramer's, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Wells, Silicon Valley Bank, Barclays, CNBC, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon, Wells, U.S
JPMorgan Chase Bank is seen in New York City, U.S., March 21, 2023. In the first 10 days of this month, the $1.46 billion Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB.O) saw net outflows of $336.18 million, while the $2.49 billion SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF saw net outflows of $19.58 million. Overall, the Invesco fund and the SPDR fund posted net inflows of $381.16 million and $565.15 million so far this year. The prices of the ETFs are down 23% and 28.4%, respectively, as bank stocks fell sharply earlier this year following the collapse of California-based Silicon Valley Bank and two other U.S. lenders. "Although, our equity research team indicates that selling may have pushed prices down too far and created a buying opportunity."
Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Hogan, Riley, JPMorgan Chase, Wells, Bryan Armour, Bansari Mayur, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: JPMorgan Chase Bank, REUTERS, Exchange, KBW Bank, Regional Banking, Valley Bank, U.S, Federal, JPMorgan, Citigroup, North America, Morningstar, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, California, Bengaluru
But the Club is exercising caution when it comes to our two bank names: Wells Fargo (WFC) and Morgan Stanley (MS). Shares of Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley have lost 8.52% and 13.73%, respectively, during the same period. Still, big banks will ultimately be able to manage any new regulatory hurdles, Oppenheimer's Chris Kotowski told CNBC. For Wells Fargo, the company is buying back the most stock of any of the big banks. A combination file photo shows Wells Fargo, Citibank, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs.
Persons: Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer, Banks, Moody's, Chris Kotowski, Oppenheimer, Jim, Morgan, Charles Scharf, Jim Cramer's, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, Wells, Valley Bank, UBS Group, UBS, Credit Suisse, Federal Reserve, Street, Bank of New York Mellon, BK, P Global, CNBC, Club, Big Tech, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Reuters Locations: Wells Fargo, Silicon, U.S
Big banks have released their earnings over the past few days – and it's clear that Wall Street had a good quarter. Back in March, Silicon Valley Bank collapsed after massive losses in its bond portfolio caused customers like Peter Thiel's Founders Fund to pull their deposits from the lender. That deal was one reason why JPMorgan posted record profits in the second quarter, analysts said. JPMorgan made almost $22 billion in net interest income in the second quarter, up 44% from the previous year. Bank of America, Citi, and Wells Fargo also all logged higher net interest income, thanks to the Fed's aggressive tightening campaign.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Peter Thiel's, Jamie Dimon, Wall Organizations: First Republic, Bank of America, Citi, Fund, First, Western Alliance, JPMorgan, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Government, Federal Locations: Silicon Valley, First Republic
CEO David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, during a Bloomberg Television at the Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference in New York, Dec. 6, 2022. Goldman Sachs is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings before the opening bell Wednesday. Here's what Wall Street expects:Earnings: $3.18 per share, according to RefinitivRevenue: $10.84 billionTrading revenue: Fixed income $2.78 billion; equities $2.42 billion, per FactSetInvesting banking revenue: $1.49 billionExpectations have been set low for Goldman this quarter. Unlike more diversified rivals, Goldman gets the majority of its revenue from volatile Wall Street activities, including trading and investment banking. Investment banking has been weak because of subdued issuance and IPOs amid the Federal Reserve's interest rate increases.
Persons: David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Solomon's, outsized, JPMorgan Chase, Solomon, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Bloomberg Television, Goldman Sachs Financial Services, Refinitiv Revenue, Goldman, Investment, JPMorgan, Apple Card, American Express, KBW, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: New York
Bank of America on Tuesday posted second-quarter profit and revenue that edged out expectations as the company reaped more interest income amid higher rates. Revenue climbed 11% to $25.33 billion, fueled by a 14% jump in net interest income to $14.2 billion, essentially matching the expectation of analysts surveyed by FactSet. Last week, rival JPMorgan Chase posted a far stronger jump in net interest income that helped fuel a 67% surge in quarterly profit. On Friday, JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo each posted earnings that topped analysts' expectations amid higher interest rates. Goldman Sachs wraps up big bank earnings Wednesday.
Persons: Brian Moynihan, hasn't, JPMorgan Chase, Moynihan, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bank of America Corp, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Washington , D.C, Bank of America, Revenue, FactSet, JPMorgan, KBW, Consumer Financial, Bureau, Citigroup Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Charlotte , North Carolina
CEO of Morgan Stanley James Gorman speaks in New York, May 6, 2014. Morgan Stanley on Tuesday posted second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analysts' expectations, helped by record wealth management results. Under CEO James Gorman, Morgan Stanley's reliance on wealth management has helped its steady earnings and boosted its valuation relative to peers. The institutional securities business posted an 8% decline in revenue to $5.65 billion, driven by declines in trading. On Friday, JPMorgan Chase , Citigroup and Wells Fargo each posted earnings that topped analysts' expectations amid higher interest rates.
Persons: Morgan Stanley James Gorman, Morgan Stanley, James Gorman, Morgan, Gorman, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Revenue, Wall Street, Investment, KBW, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup Locations: New York
U.S. stocks finished higher Monday, as momentum from last week’s encouraging inflation data and solid earnings carried into the start of this week despite soft data out of China. Meanwhile, earnings from companies including Delta Air Lines and JPMorgan Chase indicated that the American consumer remains strong. This week, earnings will continue to set the tone for trading, with companies including Netflix, Tesla and Bank of America set to report. Banks rose after a strong start to earnings season, with the KBW Bank index up roughly 1%. Tesla rose alongside some other EV stocks.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Banks, Tesla Organizations: Federal Reserve, Delta Air Lines, JPMorgan, Netflix, Tesla, Bank of America, Nasdaq, Telecom, Wall Street, Verizon, Shanghai Locations: China, Europe, Libya
JPMorgan Chase is scheduled to report second-quarter results before the opening bell Friday, kicking off the banking industry's earnings season. Here's what Wall Street expects, according to analysts' estimates:Earnings: $4 per share, according to RefinitivRevenue: $38.96 billion, according to RefinitivTrading revenue: Fixed income $4.12 billion, equities $2.41 billion, according to StreetAccountInvestment banking revenue: $1.42 billionNet interest income: $21.21 billionJPMorgan has been a standout recently on several fronts. Last month, several regional banks disclosed lower-than-expected interest revenue, and analysts expect more banks to do the same in coming weeks. In May, JPMorgan said revenue from those Wall Street activities was headed for a 15% decline from a year earlier. Wells Fargo and Citigroup are scheduled to release results later Friday, while Bank of America and Morgan Stanley report Tuesday.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, That's, Banks, sidestep downturns, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Organizations: JPMorgan, U.S, Capitol, New Democrat Coalition, Washington , D.C, Refinitiv Revenue, Investment, KBW, Republic, Citigroup, Bank of America Locations: Washington ,, Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo beat Wall Street estimates on the top and bottom lines for the second quarter, sending its stock higher in premarket trading Friday. $1.25 in earnings per share vs $1.16 expected$20.53 billion in revenue vs $20.12 billion expectedShares of Wells Fargo rose more than 3% before the bell. Wells Fargo hiked its full-year guidance for net interest income, saying it expected the metric to rise 14% in 2023 instead of the previous projection for 10%. "When you talk about commercial real estate, you're really talking about the office part of commercial real estate, because the rest of the commerical real estate portfolio is performing quite well," Santomassimo said on a media call. Wells Fargo said it spent $4 billion buying back 100.2 million shares during the quarter.
Persons: Wells, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, Mike Santomassimo, Santomassimo Organizations: Wall, Consumer, KBW Locations: Wells Fargo, U.S
All 23 banks that the Federal Reserve subjects to its annual stress test passed the key evaluation after the market closed on Wednesday. Nonetheless, the stress test helped lift major banks stocks, including Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase , on Thursday. Phoenix-based Western Alliance , meanwhile, is 58% below its 52-week high. WAL YTD mountain Western Alliance stock has slipped more than 38% so far this year. Wells Fargo stock has gained almost 3.5% in 2023 after climbing 3.4% on Thursday following the Fed's stress test.
Persons: Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, David Solomon, FactSet Organizations: Federal Reserve, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First, KBW Bank, PacWest Bancorp, Western Alliance Bancorp, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro, KBW Bank ETF, Goldman, Western Alliance, Western, Wells, San Locations: U.S, Silicon, GreenSky, Phoenix, Wells Fargo, San Francisco
Jim on Friday matched Gorman's confidence in the future of Morgan Stanley, saying its stock looked very attractive at current levels. The day before Gorman took over as CEO, on Jan. 1, 2010, Morgan Stanley stock closed at $29.60 per share. Investors like steadiness, so they're willing to pay more for every dollar of wealth-and-asset-management revenue compared with investment banking and trading. Over time, this dynamic should allow Morgan Stanley to command a higher price-to-earnings ratio. James Gorman, chairman and chief executive officer of Morgan Stanley, speaks during a Bloomberg Television interview in Beijing, China, on Thursday, May 30, 2019.
What might get this stock market unstuck
  + stars: | 2023-05-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +8 min
Clearly the market is captive of strong, opposing and somewhat unpredictable currents, as the passengers argue over what might get stocks unstuck, and in which direction. Excluding financial stocks, for instance, the S & P 500 would be up 11% for the year. Here is the equal-weighted S & P 500 vs. the Nasdaq 100 since the end of 2021. The stock market has, coincidentally or not, carved a similar path so far this year as it did to begin 2011. The S & P 500 that year raced higher to print a 7% gain into a February high, then chopped sideways.
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